The combination of Edwards being tough to finish along with Covington’s style makes this fight a good candidate to go to decision. Edwards is also very tough-Edwards has not been finished in 25 career fights. Six of Covington’s last seven wins are by decision, and seven of his last nine fights have gone the distance. Covington is not a big finisher, as his control-heavy style combined with a lack of one-punch power generally makes him prone to going the distance. Looking at fight props on DraftKings Sportsbook for this matchup could be fruitful. Covington has a clear path to victory in this fight, and it’s through using his cardio and offensive grappling to wear Edwards out and rack up enough points to win a decision.

Edwards got taken down five times and controlled for over 10 minutes, and had it not been for a last-minute head kick KO, Edwards was on his way to losing a decision. Edwards also had less success against Usman in the first title fight between the two. Usman has dealt with knee issues that have slowed his offensive wrestling, and Covington’s takedowns will likely be more difficult to fend off. However, this version of Kamaru Usman was not quite in peak form. Covington is good at hiding takedown attempts and timing his takedown attempts when his opponent is off-balance, which helps him get inside without getting hit clean. Covington ranks second among active welterweights in top position time and ninth among all active UFC fighters. Because Covington records a lot of takedowns, he also records a lot of time in top position. Covington ranks second among active welterweights in control time, third in control time percentage and has generated the fifth most control time among all active fighters on the UFC roster.Ĭovington’s wrestling also fuels heavy takedown volume, averaging over four takedowns per 15 minutes and recording 67 total takedowns, the fourth most among all active UFC fighters. Covington is an excellent wrestler who was an All-American in college, and his wrestling combined with his gas tank allows him to generate a lot of control time. Covington has strong cardio and can work a relentless pace, which allows him to constantly attack his opponents by blending his wrestling with distance and clinch strikes. Colby Covington is best known for his trash talk, but some of his skills inside the octagon are elite.

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